[Salon] A Question of Defense for NATO and Ukraine



A Question of Defense for NATO and Ukraine

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2023-06-02/a-question-of-defense-for-nato-and-ukraine-balance-of-power?cmpid=BBD060223_politics

Since NATO’s expansion following the collapse of the Soviet Union, the main question it’s faced has been how far the US and its allies will go to protect nations under their collective security umbrella.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine provided a firm answer, as NATO heavyweights ramped up security for members on the alliance’s eastern flank like Poland and the three Baltic states. But the war has raised a new question: Can a country in open conflict with Russia join?

The short answer is no. While NATO states have poured billions of dollars of economic and military aid into Ukraine to help it defend itself, making it a member would by definition draw them into the war with Russia.

Still, North Atlantic Treaty Organization leaders and officials meeting this week in Moldova and Norway outlined positions that indicate Kyiv may get, if not full membership, then at least some kind of insurance policy. Talks are underway on what that may entail before NATO’s July summit in Lithuania.

Admitting that membership for Ukraine “isn’t accessible today,” French President Emmanuel Macron floated the prospect of “tangible” security guarantees — somewhere between what the US offers Israel and accession.

Under a proposal drafted by former NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy’s chief of staff, allies would back Ukraine’s self-defense with commitments to provide military and other resources.

Ukraine’s status is also expected to get an upgrade so it can directly take part in discussions about NATO security. But according to a US source, it’s unclear whether Kyiv will get an actual timeline to join.

“We cannot talk about a new membership in the middle of a war,” German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock said in Oslo.

For now, NATO’s message to Ukraine is clear: You can have cash, weapons, training and encouragement against Russia; but the fight is up to you.  Michael Winfrey 

Zelenskiy and Macron in Paris on May 14. Photographer: Benjamin Girette/Bloomberg


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